When will the Government shutdown end?

November 8-11

November 12-15

95%

November 16+

November 8-11

November 12-15

95%

November 16+

$28m Vol.

Fed decision in December?

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

69%

No change

29%

25+ bps increase

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

69%

No change

29%

25+ bps increase

$70m Vol.

Maduro out by...?

November 30, 2025

December 31, 2025

13%

March 31, 2026

29%

November 30, 2025

December 31, 2025

13%

March 31, 2026

29%

$8m Vol.

What day will the Government Shutdown end?

November 12

68%

November 13

28%

November 14

November 15

November 16

November 12

68%

November 13

28%

November 14

November 15

November 16

$3m Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

26%

chance

$1m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Kansas City

13%

Philadelphia

11%

Los Angeles R

10%

Detroit

Seattle

Kansas City

13%

Philadelphia

11%

Los Angeles R

10%

Detroit

Seattle

$520m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets November 4 - November 11, 2025?

120-139

40%

140-159

59%

160-179

180-199

<1%

200-219

<1%

120-139

40%

140-159

59%

160-179

180-199

<1%

200-219

<1%

$11m Vol.

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

15%

chance

$291k Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

71%

Republican Party

30%

Democratic Party

71%

Republican Party

30%

$413k Vol.

Chile Presidential Election

José Antonio Kast

69%

Jeannette Jara

15%

Johannes Kaiser

13%

Evelyn Matthei

Franco Parisi

José Antonio Kast

69%

Jeannette Jara

15%

Johannes Kaiser

13%

Evelyn Matthei

Franco Parisi

$48m Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

71%

chance

$694k Vol.

Gemini 3.0 released by...?

November 15

November 22

61%

November 30

80%

December 31

97%

November 15

November 22

61%

November 30

80%

December 31

97%

$9m Vol.

U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

chance

$230k Vol.

Will the Government shutdown end by...?

November 15

96%

November 30

100%

December 31

100%

January 31

100%

November 15

96%

November 30

100%

December 31

100%

January 31

100%

$9m Vol.

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

24%

chance

$67k Vol.

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

November 30

28%

December 31

43%

January 31

36%

November 30

28%

December 31

43%

January 31

36%

$277k Vol.

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

chance

$2m Vol.

Uniswap Cup

Aave

Ledger

SEED Latam

Uniswap Labs

Uniswap Foundation

Aave

Ledger

SEED Latam

Uniswap Labs

Uniswap Foundation

$69k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

chance

$26m Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?

November 14

November 21

29%

November 30

66%

December 31

88%

November 14

November 21

29%

November 30

66%

December 31

88%

$1m Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on November 11?

92,000

100%

94,000

100%

96,000

100%

98,000

100%

100,000

100%

92,000

100%

94,000

100%

96,000

100%

98,000

100%

100,000

100%

$2m Vol.

Top Spotify Artist 2025

Bad Bunny

95%

Taylor Swift

Bruno Mars

The Weeknd

<1%

Ariana Grande

<1%

Bad Bunny

95%

Taylor Swift

Bruno Mars

The Weeknd

<1%

Ariana Grande

<1%

$10m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

59%

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

Marjorie Taylor Greene

J.D. Vance

59%

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$84m Vol.

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner

Sam Soverel

59%

Michael Mizrachi

Matthew Honig 'Hanks'

Nacho Barbero

Scott Seiver

<1%

Sam Soverel

59%

Michael Mizrachi

Matthew Honig 'Hanks'

Nacho Barbero

Scott Seiver

<1%

$176m Vol.

English Premier League Winner

Arsenal

55%

Man City

30%

Liverpool

Chelsea

Man United

Arsenal

55%

Man City

30%

Liverpool

Chelsea

Man United

$96m Vol.

Highest grossing movie in 2025?

Wicked: For Good

51%

Zootopia 2

24%

A Minecraft Movie

Avatar 3

Lilo & Stitch

Wicked: For Good

51%

Zootopia 2

24%

A Minecraft Movie

Avatar 3

Lilo & Stitch

$67m Vol.

Celtics

46%

76ers

55%

$1m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 1:00 AM

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

39%

GL/PvdA + VVD + D66

30%

VVD + CDA + D66

15%

GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA

No Coalition by October 31

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

39%

GL/PvdA + VVD + D66

30%

VVD + CDA + D66

15%

GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA

No Coalition by October 31

$14m Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

38%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

13%

Pete Buttigieg

Jon Ossoff

Kamala Harris

Gavin Newsom

38%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

13%

Pete Buttigieg

Jon Ossoff

Kamala Harris

$290m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

↑ 125,000

↑ 120,000

15%

↑ 115,000

33%

↓ 95,000

28%

↓ 90,000

13%

↑ 125,000

↑ 120,000

15%

↑ 115,000

33%

↓ 95,000

28%

↓ 90,000

13%

$18m Vol.

2026 NBA Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

31%

Denver Nuggets

12%

Cleveland Cavaliers

Houston Rockets

New York Knicks

Oklahoma City Thunder

31%

Denver Nuggets

12%

Cleveland Cavaliers

Houston Rockets

New York Knicks

$45m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

29%

Gavin Newsom

20%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

JD Vance

29%

Gavin Newsom

20%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

$117m Vol.

UEFA Champions League Winner

Bayern Munich

17%

Arsenal

16%

PSG

12%

Real Madrid

10%

Man City

10%

Bayern Munich

17%

Arsenal

16%

PSG

12%

Real Madrid

10%

Man City

10%

$71m Vol.

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