Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

39%

Los Angeles R

27%

Seattle

39%

Los Angeles R

27%

$682m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

59%

Rick Rieder

18%

Kevin Warsh

59%

Rick Rieder

18%

$213m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

95%

André Ventura (CH)

5%

António José Seguro (IND)

95%

André Ventura (CH)

5%

$119m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner card icon

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

António José Seguro (IND)

100%

André Ventura (CH)

<1%

António José Seguro (IND)

100%

André Ventura (CH)

<1%

$4m Vol.

Rams

100%

Bears

0%

$16m Vol.

•NFL•Jan 18, 11:30 PM

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

21%

chance

$14m Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

31%

chance

$3m Vol.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

8%

chance

$37m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 18

<1%

January 23

8%

January 18

<1%

January 23

8%

$68m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

36%

chance

$3m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

3%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

3%

$413m Vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

11%

chance

$738k Vol.

Insurrection Act invoked by...? card icon

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

January 31

13%

March 31

31%

January 31

13%

March 31

31%

$285k Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pam Bondi

29%

Kristi Noem

17%

Pam Bondi

29%

Kristi Noem

17%

$1m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

22%

chance

$12m Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...? card icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

5%

May 14

8%

March 31

5%

May 14

8%

$514k Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

19%

chance

$2m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

42%

chance

$7m Vol.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

11%

chance

$109k Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

98%

>$5m

98%

>$4m

98%

>$5m

98%

$6m Vol.

Nets

100%

Bulls

0%

$3m Vol.

•NBA• 12:00 AM

English Premier League Winner card icon

English Premier League Winner

Arsenal

78%

Man City

18%

Arsenal

78%

Man City

18%

$173m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

52%

Marco Rubio

16%

J.D. Vance

52%

Marco Rubio

16%

$194m Vol.

2026 NBA Champion card icon

2026 NBA Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

40%

Denver Nuggets

12%

Oklahoma City Thunder

40%

Denver Nuggets

12%

$171m Vol.

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