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Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$32m Vol.
Fed decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
4%
$374m Vol.
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
17%
$9m Vol.
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
30%
$3m Vol.
Spirit
86%
Sinners
14%
Game 1 • Best of 3
$205k Vol.
1win
39%
AVULUS
61%
Game 3 • Best of 3
$74k Vol.
Pelicans
41%
Pacers
60%
$873k Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets January 9 - January 16, 2026?
500-519
15%
520-539
$15m Vol.
US strikes Iran by...?
January 18
8%
January 23
20%
$56m Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
38%
Super Bowl Champion 2026
Seattle
24%
Los Angeles R
$676m Vol.
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
January 31
March 31
$126k Vol.
Portugal Presidential Election
António José Seguro (IND)
75%
João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$111m Vol.
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Pam Bondi
25%
Kristi Noem
19%
$991k Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
44%
Kevin Hassett
36%
$193m Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
$11m Vol.
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
5%
May 14
$426k Vol.
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?
$2m Vol.
US next strikes Iran on...?
January 17
3%
$6m Vol.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
27%
Gavin Newsom
$192m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
43%
$7m Vol.
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
11%
$105k Vol.
Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price
>$4m
99%
>$5m
97%
$5m Vol.
Bitcoin above ___ on January 16?
82,000
100%
84,000
$4m Vol.
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