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Fed decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
21%
$17m Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett
52%
Kevin Warsh
39%
$44m Vol.
Maduro out by...?
December 31, 2025
8%
January 31, 2026
19%
$25m Vol.
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$187k Vol.
Kings
22%
Timberwolves
79%
Live
$2m Vol.
Packers
34%
Broncos
66%
$4m Vol.
Colts
42%
Seahawks
59%
$3m Vol.
Bucks
18%
Nets
83%
Flyers
17%
Hurricanes
84%
$811k Vol.
Chile Presidential Election
José Antonio Kast
100%
Jeannette Jara
<1%
$86m Vol.
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?
0
91%
1-100
$7m Vol.
David Friedberg
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?
December 15
2%
December 31
36%
$394k Vol.
Will Trump release Epstein files by...?
December 19
65%
76%
$5m Vol.
Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
>$1B
88%
>$2B
82%
$23m Vol.
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
92%
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
$97k Vol.
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Kristi Noem
24%
Pete Hegseth
$108k Vol.
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?
5%
$285k Vol.
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua
Jake Paul
11%
Anthony Joshua
$1m Vol.
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
$102k Vol.
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
$38m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
3%
$55m Vol.
Largest Company end of 2025?
NVIDIA
Apple
$54m Vol.
Honduras Presidential Election
Nasry "Tito" Asfura
Salvador Nasralla
6%
$21m Vol.
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