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When will the Government shutdown end?
November 8-11
1%
November 12-15
96%
November 16+
4%
$28m Vol.
Fed decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
68%
No change
30%
25+ bps increase
$70m Vol.
Maduro out by...?
November 30, 2025
December 31, 2025
13%
March 31, 2026
28%
$8m Vol.
What day will the Government Shutdown end?
November 12
64%
November 13
33%
November 14
2%
November 15
November 16
$3m Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
82%
Taylor Fritz
19%
Carlos
Taylor
$179k Vol.
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
26%
chance
Yes
No
$1m Vol.
Super Bowl Champion 2026
Kansas City
Philadelphia
11%
Detroit
9%
Los Angeles R
Buffalo
$520m Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets November 4 - November 11, 2025?
120-139
52%
140-159
47%
160-179
180-199
<1%
200-219
$11m Vol.
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
12%
$306k Vol.
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
70%
Republican Party
$423k Vol.
Chile Presidential Election
José Antonio Kast
69%
Jeannette Jara
15%
Johannes Kaiser
Evelyn Matthei
Franco Parisi
$48m Vol.
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
63%
$699k Vol.
Gemini 3.0 released by...?
5%
November 22
61%
November 30
79%
December 31
97%
$9m Vol.
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
$231k Vol.
Will the Government shutdown end by...?
100%
January 31
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
24%
$67k Vol.
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
32%
48%
$279k Vol.
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
$2m Vol.
Uniswap Cup
Aave
7%
Ledger
6%
Uniswap Labs
SEED Latam
Uniswap Foundation
$84k Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
$26m Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?
November 21
23%
65%
87%
Bitcoin above ___ on November 11?
92,000
94,000
96,000
98,000
100,000
New Jersey Governor Election Mikie Sherrill margin of victory?
<3%
6-9%
9-12%
12-15%
99%
15%+
$5m Vol.
Top Spotify Artist 2025
Bad Bunny
95%
Taylor Swift
Bruno Mars
The Weeknd
Ariana Grande
Largest Company end of 2025?
NVIDIA
92%
Apple
Microsoft
Alphabet
Saudi Aramco
$16m Vol.
2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner
Sam Soverel
Matthew Honig 'Hanks'
Michael Mizrachi
Nacho Barbero
Xuan Liu
$176m Vol.
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
59%
Marco Rubio
8%
Donald Trump
Tucker Carlson
Ron DeSantis
$85m Vol.
English Premier League Winner
Arsenal
55%
Man City
Liverpool
Chelsea
Man United
$96m Vol.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
38%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Pete Buttigieg
Jon Ossoff
Kamala Harris
$290m Vol.
Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
37%
GL/PvdA + VVD + D66
VVD + CDA + D66
18%
GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA
No Coalition by October 31
$14m Vol.
What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
↑ 125,000
↑ 120,000
↑ 115,000
35%
↓ 95,000
↓ 90,000
$19m Vol.
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
31%
Denver Nuggets
Cleveland Cavaliers
Houston Rockets
New York Knicks
$45m Vol.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
29%
20%
$117m Vol.
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