MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner

Kyle Schwarber

Junior Caminero

Munetaka Murakami

Jordan Walker

Which Home Run Derby slugger is best suited to take advantage of the new rules?

The New York Times

・

Which Home Run Derby slugger is best suited to take advantage of the new rules?

The New York Times

・

Which Home Run Derby slugger is best suited to take advantage of the new rules?

$119K Vol

Ends Jul 13, 2026·

World Cup Winner

France

England

Spain

Argentina

casda858

Cristiano Ronaldo's last World Cup as Portugal champions; hoping Portugal will win.

cfvfsd99

yes

junipero

Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ola! 🩵

Ronaldo2win

Go all in on Portugal and thank me later.

junipero

Portugal is definitely quite undervalued here actually. Real strong team + Martinez magic. 🧐

nikitakud77

you think portugal will win this world cup? Spain is actually pretty strong with Lamine Yamal

casda858

Cristiano Ronaldo's last World Cup as Portugal champions; hoping Portugal will win.

cfvfsd99

yes

junipero

Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ola! 🩵

Ronaldo2win

Go all in on Portugal and thank me later.

junipero

Portugal is definitely quite undervalued here actually. Real strong team + Martinez magic. 🧐

nikitakud77

you think portugal will win this world cup? Spain is actually pretty strong with Lamine Yamal

casda858

Cristiano Ronaldo's last World Cup as Portugal champions; hoping Portugal will win.

cfvfsd99

yes

junipero

Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ole, Ola! 🩵

Ronaldo2win

Go all in on Portugal and thank me later.

junipero

Portugal is definitely quite undervalued here actually. Real strong team + Martinez magic. 🧐

nikitakud77

you think portugal will win this world cup? Spain is actually pretty strong with Lamine Yamal

$4B Vol

Ends Jul 20, 2026·

Fed Decision in July?

25 bps decrease

No change

25 bps increase

50+ bps increase

Warsh and US Inflation Will Set Tone for July Fed Decision

The New York Times

・

A Few Officials Signaled Support for Higher Rates at Warsh’s First Meeting

Reuters

・

Fed policymakers' inflation concerns grew at June meeting, minutes show

AP News

・

Fed minutes: Officials deeply divided over future path of US inflation

WSJ

・

Warsh’s First Big Call: Whether to Undo Last Year’s Cuts

Bloomberg.com

・

Warsh and US Inflation Will Set Tone for July Fed Decision

The New York Times

・

A Few Officials Signaled Support for Higher Rates at Warsh’s First Meeting

Reuters

・

Fed policymakers' inflation concerns grew at June meeting, minutes show

AP News

・

Fed minutes: Officials deeply divided over future path of US inflation

WSJ

・

Warsh’s First Big Call: Whether to Undo Last Year’s Cuts

Bloomberg.com

・

Warsh and US Inflation Will Set Tone for July Fed Decision

The New York Times

・

A Few Officials Signaled Support for Higher Rates at Warsh’s First Meeting

Reuters

・

Fed policymakers' inflation concerns grew at June meeting, minutes show

AP News

・

Fed minutes: Officials deeply divided over future path of US inflation

WSJ

・

Warsh’s First Big Call: Whether to Undo Last Year’s Cuts

$53M Vol

Monthly

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

Geopolitics·Iran

August 18

August 31

September 30

December 31

Trump Administration Increasingly Pessimistic of Clinching Iran Nuclear Deal

Reuters

・

Explainer: Why has the Iran-US ceasefire memorandum frayed?

The Washington Post

・

Trump says U.S. military will reimpose blockade on Iranian ports

The New York Times

・

Strait of Hormuz Will Soon Be Declared Open to All Traffic, U.S. Officials Say

BBC

・

Bowen: For all his bluster, Trump has no better option than talks with Iran

WSJ

・

Trump Administration Increasingly Pessimistic of Clinching Iran Nuclear Deal

Reuters

・

Explainer: Why has the Iran-US ceasefire memorandum frayed?

The Washington Post

・

Trump says U.S. military will reimpose blockade on Iranian ports

The New York Times

・

Strait of Hormuz Will Soon Be Declared Open to All Traffic, U.S. Officials Say

BBC

・

Bowen: For all his bluster, Trump has no better option than talks with Iran

WSJ

・

Trump Administration Increasingly Pessimistic of Clinching Iran Nuclear Deal

Reuters

・

Explainer: Why has the Iran-US ceasefire memorandum frayed?

The Washington Post

・

Trump says U.S. military will reimpose blockade on Iranian ports

The New York Times

・

Strait of Hormuz Will Soon Be Declared Open to All Traffic, U.S. Officials Say

BBC

・

Bowen: For all his bluster, Trump has no better option than talks with Iran

$10M Vol

Ends Aug 31, 2026·

All markets

World Cup Winner

France

39%

Yes39%No61%

England

22%

Yes22%No78%

France

39%

Yes39%No61%

England

22%

Yes22%No78%

$4B Vol.

BTC Up or Down 5m

53%

Down

Live

·Bitcoin

World Cup
Odds & Predictions

Fed Decision in July?

No change

64%

Yes64%No36%

25 bps increase

34%

Yes34%No66%

No change

64%

Yes64%No36%

25 bps increase

34%

Yes34%No66%

$53M Vol.

MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner

Kyle Schwarber

23%

Yes23%No77%

Junior Caminero

20%

Yes20%No80%

Kyle Schwarber

23%

Yes23%No77%

Junior Caminero

20%

Yes20%No80%

$119K Vol.

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Kylian Mbappe

56%

Yes56%No44%

Lionel Messi

34%

Yes34%No66%

Kylian Mbappe

56%

Yes56%No44%

Lionel Messi

34%

Yes34%No66%

$56M Vol.

Clacton by-election Winner

Nigel Farage

94%

Yes94%No6%

Count Binface

Yes6%No94%

Nigel Farage

94%

Yes94%No6%

Count Binface

Yes6%No94%

$2M Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 31

30%

Yes30%No70%

September 30

15%

Yes15%No85%

December 31

30%

Yes30%No70%

September 30

15%

Yes15%No85%

$10M Vol.

2026 MLB All-Star Game: MVP

Yordan Alvarez

Luis Arraez

Yordan Alvarez

Luis Arraez

NEW

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

France

60%

Yes60%No40%

England

55%

Yes55%No45%

France

60%

Yes60%No40%

England

55%

Yes55%No45%

$13M Vol.

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

Cleveland Cavaliers

44%

Yes44%No56%

Golden State Warriors

25%

Yes25%No75%

Cleveland Cavaliers

44%

Yes44%No56%

Golden State Warriors

25%

Yes25%No75%

$19M Vol.

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

40%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

August 31

47%

Yes47%No53%

July 31

33%

Yes33%No67%

August 31

47%

Yes47%No53%

July 31

33%

Yes33%No67%

$33K Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

16%

chance

Yes

$635K Vol.

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

August 15

35%

Yes35%No65%

July 31

31%

Yes31%No69%

August 15

35%

Yes35%No65%

July 31

31%

Yes31%No69%

$5M Vol.

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

August 31

48%

Yes48%No52%

July 31

27%

Yes27%No73%

August 31

48%

Yes48%No52%

July 31

27%

Yes27%No73%

$6M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

29%

Yes29%No71%

Édouard Philippe

28%

Yes28%No72%

Marine Le Pen

29%

Yes29%No71%

Édouard Philippe

28%

Yes28%No72%

$112M Vol.

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027

20%

Yes20%No80%

December 31, 2026

10%

Yes10%No90%

June 30, 2027

20%

Yes20%No80%

December 31, 2026

10%

Yes10%No90%

$17M Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Democrat

66%

Yes66%No34%

Republican

35%

Yes35%No65%

Democrat

66%

Yes66%No34%

Republican

35%

Yes35%No65%

$986K Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

42%

Yes42%No58%

Marco Rubio

28%

Yes28%No72%

J.D. Vance

42%

Yes42%No58%

Marco Rubio

28%

Yes28%No72%

$673M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

20%

Yes20%No80%

Marco Rubio

14%

Yes14%No86%

JD Vance

20%

Yes20%No80%

Marco Rubio

14%

Yes14%No86%

$658M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

84%

Yes84%No16%

Republican Party

17%

Yes17%No83%

Democratic Party

84%

Yes84%No16%

Republican Party

17%

Yes17%No83%

$8M Vol.

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli

58%

Yes58%No42%

George Russell

19%

Yes19%No81%

Kimi Antonelli

58%

Yes58%No42%

George Russell

19%

Yes19%No81%

$194M Vol.

France

41%

Spain

30%

France

DRAW

Spain

$12M Vol.

·World Cup

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

20%

Yes20%No80%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15%

Yes15%No85%

Gavin Newsom

20%

Yes20%No80%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15%

Yes15%No85%

$1B Vol.

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

Cameron Boozer

22%

Yes22%No78%

AJ Dybantsa

21%

Yes21%No79%

Cameron Boozer

22%

Yes22%No78%

AJ Dybantsa

21%

Yes21%No79%

$3M Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

↑ 62,500

84%

Yes84%No16%

↓ 60,000

68%

Yes68%No32%

↑ 62,500

84%

Yes84%No16%

↓ 60,000

68%

Yes68%No32%

$8M Vol.

·Bitcoin

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?

↑ $80

71%

Yes71%No29%

↑ $85

36%

Yes36%No64%

↑ $80

71%

Yes71%No29%

↑ $85

36%

Yes36%No64%

$4M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?

180-199

52%

Yes52%No48%

200-219

43%

Yes43%No57%

180-199

52%

Yes52%No48%

200-219

43%

Yes43%No57%

$3M Vol.

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Starmer - UK PM

98%

Yes98%No2%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

Yes1%No99%

Starmer - UK PM

98%

Yes98%No2%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

Yes1%No99%

$65M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

20%

chance

Yes

$41M Vol.

Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Featured markets

All markets

World Cup Winner

BTC Up or Down 5m

Fed Decision in July?

MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Clacton by-election Winner

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

2026 MLB All-Star Game: MVP

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next French Presidential Election

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Maine Senate Election Winner

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Which party will win the House in 2026?

F1 Drivers' Champion

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?