Polymarket | The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

MrBauer

Disclosure: I hold NO in this market. I read OpenAI PR #71 closely. Its original commit used gpt-6-astra only as an example “for projects with access”; that suggests gated or pre-release plumbing, not proof of public availability by Sep 3 ET. OpenAI’s Sep 1 post says Astra is coming soon and that advanced cyber access will initially be limited. Thursday raises the launch odds, but this market requires public access, so I think the current YES price overstates certainty.

Aching-Warmth

Sure)))))

Hilarious-Frown

The market for Sept 3 is supposed to be resolved as NO

MrBauer

as I said :)

QMG-CORE

AXIOS: OpenAI slows release of Astra model citing cyber capabilities

StupidMonkeyyy

HAHAHAHAHAHA, ROBBERY

MrBauer

Disclosure: I hold NO in this market. I read OpenAI PR #71 closely. Its original commit used gpt-6-astra only as an example “for projects with access”; that suggests gated or pre-release plumbing, not proof of public availability by Sep 3 ET. OpenAI’s Sep 1 post says Astra is coming soon and that advanced cyber access will initially be limited. Thursday raises the launch odds, but this market requires public access, so I think the current YES price overstates certainty.

Aching-Warmth

Sure)))))

Hilarious-Frown

The market for Sept 3 is supposed to be resolved as NO

MrBauer

as I said :)

QMG-CORE

AXIOS: OpenAI slows release of Astra model citing cyber capabilities

StupidMonkeyyy

HAHAHAHAHAHA, ROBBERY

MrBauer

Disclosure: I hold NO in this market. I read OpenAI PR #71 closely. Its original commit used gpt-6-astra only as an example “for projects with access”; that suggests gated or pre-release plumbing, not proof of public availability by Sep 3 ET. OpenAI’s Sep 1 post says Astra is coming soon and that advanced cyber access will initially be limited. Thursday raises the launch odds, but this market requires public access, so I think the current YES price overstates certainty.

Aching-Warmth

Sure)))))

Hilarious-Frown

The market for Sept 3 is supposed to be resolved as NO

MrBauer

as I said :)

QMG-CORE

AXIOS: OpenAI slows release of Astra model citing cyber capabilities

StupidMonkeyyy

HAHAHAHAHAHA, ROBBERY

JohnA

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TheAllKnowingSeer

We shall win.

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AluCard

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JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

TheAllKnowingSeer

We shall win.

JeanneDeETH

Fullspeed across the casino, that's the intended way, amen.

AluCard

Insha Allah

www-uma-rocks

you're welcome

www-uma-rocks

In degen we trust 💪

JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

TheAllKnowingSeer

We shall win.

JeanneDeETH

Fullspeed across the casino, that's the intended way, amen.

AluCard

Insha Allah

www-uma-rocks

you're welcome

www-uma-rocks

In degen we trust 💪

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ghachu

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NoUsername868

👌

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CKAB

Dollars on sale for 28c. It's so glaringly, blatantly obvious that Newsom wins in 2028 and 2032. Anyone who can't see this one coming from a mile away is deaf, dumb and blind.

boogz

nah the fact his name sounds like NewSCUM makes it practically impossible xd

lmg743

Anyone who claims the dem candidate is "obvious" at this stage is an idiot

bet25225

ngl I just think the one who is gonna win democrats over is gonna be the person who fights and picks their battles with republicans well. Basically the person who is able to actually able to affectively combat the opposing side. I am ngl we have had good people with decent policy but we haven't had anybody in a while who can debate well. Newsom is definitely that so far.

beruofc

The Rock having more votes than Kamala Harris is sending me 🤣🤣🤣

BeezoDokiDoki

[link removed]

CKAB

Dollars on sale for 28c. It's so glaringly, blatantly obvious that Newsom wins in 2028 and 2032. Anyone who can't see this one coming from a mile away is deaf, dumb and blind.

boogz

nah the fact his name sounds like NewSCUM makes it practically impossible xd

lmg743

Anyone who claims the dem candidate is "obvious" at this stage is an idiot

bet25225

ngl I just think the one who is gonna win democrats over is gonna be the person who fights and picks their battles with republicans well. Basically the person who is able to actually able to affectively combat the opposing side. I am ngl we have had good people with decent policy but we haven't had anybody in a while who can debate well. Newsom is definitely that so far.

beruofc

The Rock having more votes than Kamala Harris is sending me 🤣🤣🤣

BeezoDokiDoki

[link removed]

CKAB

Dollars on sale for 28c. It's so glaringly, blatantly obvious that Newsom wins in 2028 and 2032. Anyone who can't see this one coming from a mile away is deaf, dumb and blind.

boogz

nah the fact his name sounds like NewSCUM makes it practically impossible xd

lmg743

Anyone who claims the dem candidate is "obvious" at this stage is an idiot

bet25225

ngl I just think the one who is gonna win democrats over is gonna be the person who fights and picks their battles with republicans well. Basically the person who is able to actually able to affectively combat the opposing side. I am ngl we have had good people with decent policy but we haven't had anybody in a while who can debate well. Newsom is definitely that so far.

beruofc

The Rock having more votes than Kamala Harris is sending me 🤣🤣🤣

BeezoDokiDoki

[link removed]