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Fed decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
21%
$25m Vol.
Super Bowl Champion 2026
Los Angeles R
20%
Buffalo
12%
$623m Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
48%
Kevin Hassett
40%
$61m Vol.
Maduro out by...?
December 31, 2025
6%
January 31, 2026
18%
$26m Vol.
Grizzlies
87%
Clippers
14%
Live
$2m Vol.
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?
December 31
15%
March 31, 2026
72%
$1m Vol.
Will Trump release Epstein files by...?
December 19
67%
82%
$6m Vol.
Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
>$1B
>$2B
79%
$24m Vol.
Survivor 49 Winner
Savannah Louie
89%
Rizo Velovic
$454k Vol.
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua
Jake Paul
10%
Anthony Joshua
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?
0
90%
1-100
9%
$7m Vol.
David Friedberg
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$215k Vol.
Which NFL teams will make the playoffs?
Philadelphia Eagles
100%
Seattle Seahawks
99%
$445k Vol.
NFL MVP
Matthew Stafford
71%
Drake Maye
13%
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Kristi Noem
24%
Pete Hegseth
$165k Vol.
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?
5%
$312k Vol.
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?
December 15
<1%
35%
$578k Vol.
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
17%
$110k Vol.
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
19%
$38m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
3%
$57m Vol.
How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?
8 - 8.1B
8.1 - 8.2B
$143k Vol.
2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner
Sam Soverel
Michael Mizrachi
$230m Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025?
240-259
260-279
$14m Vol.
Portugal Presidential Election
Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
62%
Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
22%
$63m Vol.
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