arsenelupin

Inscrit Jan 2026·243 vues

You need to follow me if you are into politics.

$157.86

Valeur des positions

$197.00

Plus gros gain

325

Prédictions

Profit/Perte

$104.47

Jour Précédent

Actuel

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Yes 11.7¢

550.0 actions

11.7¢

6.9¢

$37.68-$26.69 (-41.47%)

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Yes 11.7¢

550.0 actions

$37.68-$26.69 (-41.47%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6¢

3,759.4 actions

0.6¢

0.7¢

$24.44$1.88 (8.33%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6¢

3,759.4 actions

$24.44$1.88 (8.33%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 2.5¢

600.0 actions

2.5¢

$15.24$0.24 (1.6%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 2.5¢

600.0 actions

$15.24$0.24 (1.6%)

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Yes 10.6¢

400.0 actions

10.6¢

3.6¢

$14.40-$28.10 (-66.12%)

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Yes 10.6¢

400.0 actions

$14.40-$28.10 (-66.12%)

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Yes 5.2¢

390.1 actions

5.2¢

3.4¢

$13.26-$6.90 (-34.22%)

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Yes 5.2¢

390.1 actions

$13.26-$6.90 (-34.22%)

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?

Yes 1.6¢

1,511.5 actions

1.6¢

0.8¢

$12.09-$12.08 (-49.97%)

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?

Yes 1.6¢

1,511.5 actions

$12.09-$12.08 (-49.97%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.7¢

1,500.0 actions

0.7¢

$9.75-$0.75 (-7.14%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.7¢

1,500.0 actions

$9.75-$0.75 (-7.14%)

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?

Yes 1.5¢

200.0 actions

1.5¢

4.1¢

$8.10$5.10 (170%)

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?

Yes 1.5¢

200.0 actions

$8.10$5.10 (170%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.2¢

300.0 actions

2.2¢

2.3¢

$6.90$0.30 (4.55%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.2¢

300.0 actions

$6.90$0.30 (4.55%)

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 13¢

60.4 actions

13¢

8.2¢

$4.92-$2.92 (-37.21%)

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 13¢

60.4 actions

$4.92-$2.92 (-37.21%)

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 41¢

12.2 actions

41¢

34.5¢

$4.21-$0.79 (-15.86%)

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 41¢

12.2 actions

$4.21-$0.79 (-15.86%)

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 5.7¢

283.0 actions

5.7¢

1.5¢

$4.10-$11.93 (-74.41%)

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 5.7¢

283.0 actions

$4.10-$11.93 (-74.41%)

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Yes 22¢

5.0 actions

22¢

17.7¢

$0.88-$0.22 (-19.77%)

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Yes 22¢

5.0 actions

$0.88-$0.22 (-19.77%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Yes 6.7¢

50.0 actions

6.7¢

1.5¢

$0.73-$2.63 (-78.36%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Yes 6.7¢

50.0 actions

$0.73-$2.63 (-78.36%)

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 4¢

188.2 actions

4¢

0.4¢

$0.66-$6.92 (-91.31%)

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 4¢

188.2 actions

$0.66-$6.92 (-91.31%)

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 5.2¢

20.0 actions

5.2¢

1.9¢

$0.38-$0.66 (-63.46%)

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 5.2¢

20.0 actions

$0.38-$0.66 (-63.46%)

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 7¢

40.0 actions

7¢

0.7¢

$0.26-$2.54 (-90.71%)

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 7¢

40.0 actions

$0.26-$2.54 (-90.71%)

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

No 17¢

10.0 actions

17¢

1.8¢

$0.19-$1.52 (-89.12%)

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

No 17¢

10.0 actions

$0.19-$1.52 (-89.12%)