Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
95.7¢
99.2¢

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
97.3¢
99.1¢

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
90.2¢
97.5¢

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 7, 2026?
99.2¢
99.7¢

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 7, 2026?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
50.5¢
72¢

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
30.1¢
31.3¢

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
67.9¢
66.5¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
61.6¢
94¢

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
33.7¢
11.9¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
36.4¢
61.5¢

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
63¢
89.5¢

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
56¢
11.5¢

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump nationalize elections?
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?
46.1¢
45.5¢
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
3.4¢
3.3¢

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
