Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

18%

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

18%

$49m Vol.

Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?

95%

chance

$219k Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

54%

Marco Rubio

J.D. Vance

54%

Marco Rubio

$132m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

16%

Seattle

13%

Los Angeles R

16%

Seattle

13%

$631m Vol.

Hornets

17%

Cavaliers

84%

Live

$1m Vol.

•NBA

Mavericks

53%

Pelicans

48%

Live

$1m Vol.

•NBA

Blues

11%

Lightning

90%

Live

$599k Vol.

•NHL

Canucks

46%

Flyers

55%

Live

$548k Vol.

•NHL

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

January 31, 2026

15%

December 31, 2025

January 31, 2026

15%

$31m Vol.

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office

<90m

100%

90-101m

<1%

<90m

100%

90-101m

<1%

$17m Vol.

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files?

Elon Musk

42%

Ehud Barak

39%

Elon Musk

42%

Ehud Barak

39%

$2m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets December 16 - December 23, 2025?

320-339

340-359

41%

320-339

340-359

41%

$18m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

61%

Kevin Warsh

21%

Kevin Hassett

61%

Kevin Warsh

21%

$78m Vol.

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by...?

December 23

11%

December 26

29%

December 23

11%

December 26

29%

$191k Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

29%

chance

$282k Vol.

Epstein client list released in 2025?

December 31

June 30

50%

December 31

June 30

50%

$888k Vol.

NFC West Winner

Seattle

55%

Los Angeles R

24%

Seattle

55%

Los Angeles R

24%

$2m Vol.

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

26%

chance

$226k Vol.

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain

15%

England

13%

Spain

15%

England

13%

$29m Vol.

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

<7.9B

<1%

8.1 - 8.2B

<7.9B

<1%

8.1 - 8.2B

$1m Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

49%

Flávio Bolsonaro

18%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

49%

Flávio Bolsonaro

18%

$9m Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 23

December 31

December 23

December 31

$42m Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

89%

>$2B

86%

>$1B

89%

>$2B

86%

$35m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

22%

Pete Hegseth

15%

Kristi Noem

22%

Pete Hegseth

15%

$416k Vol.

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