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Which party wins the most seats in French Election?

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Which party wins the most seats in French Election?

National Rally 100.0%

Renaissance 100.0%

The Republicans 100.0%

Socialist Party 100.0%

Polymarket

$917,488 Vol.

National Rally 100.0%

Renaissance 100.0%

The Republicans 100.0%

Socialist Party 100.0%

Polymarket

$917,488 Vol.

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National Rally

$522,450 Vol.

Yes

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Renaissance

$96,067 Vol.

No

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The Republicans

$61,155 Vol.

No

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Socialist Party

$41,586 Vol.

No

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La France Insoumise

$58,942 Vol.

No

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Other

$137,288 Vol.

No

French legislative elections are are scheduled for June 30 and July 7, 2024. Elections for the National Assembly, which is the lower house of France's bicameral parliament, are conducted over 2 rounds of voting. A single representative is chosen for each of 577 constituencies, and the sum total of representatives makes up the National Assembly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if National Rally (Rassemblement National) wins the most seats in the National Assembly as a result of the next French legislative election.

If voting in the next French legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Rally, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$917,488
End Date
Jul 7, 2024
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2024, 6:36 PM ET
French legislative elections are are scheduled for June 30 and July 7, 2024. Elections for the National Assembly, which is the lower house of France's bicameral parliament, are conducted over 2 rounds of voting. A single representative is chosen for each of 577 constituencies, and the sum total of representatives makes up the National Assembly. This market will resolve to "Yes" if National Rally (Rassemblement National) wins the most seats in the National Assembly as a result of the next French legislative election. If voting in the next French legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Rally, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which party wins the most seats in French Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "National Rally" at 100%, followed by "Renaissance" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which party wins the most seats in French Election?" has generated $917.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 10, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which party wins the most seats in French Election?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which party wins the most seats in French Election?" is "National Rally" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Renaissance" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which party wins the most seats in French Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.