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Trump Hush Money sentence before election?

Market icon

Trump Hush Money sentence before election?

$576,734 Vol.

Jul 11, 2024
Polymarket

$576,734 Vol.

Polymarket

>$1m fine

$234,500 Vol.

No

Probation

$138,757 Vol.

No

Community Service

$38,500 Vol.

No

House Arrest

$36,125 Vol.

No

>$100k fine

$128,852 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is fined over $100,000 for convictions in the hush money case "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no fine is rendered before November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution will be based on the initial sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Volume
$576,734
End Date
Nov 5, 2024
Market Opened
May 30, 2024, 11:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is fined over $100,000 for convictions in the hush money case "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no fine is rendered before November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution will be based on the initial sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump Hush Money sentence before election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">$1m fine" at 0%, followed by "Probation" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump Hush Money sentence before election?" has generated $576.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 31, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump Hush Money sentence before election?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Trump Hush Money sentence before election?" is ">$1m fine" at just 0%, with "Probation" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Trump Hush Money sentence before election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.