Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
89.7¢
92.5¢

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
77.3¢
91.1¢

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?
94.1¢
99.7¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
81¢
97.6¢

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
44.2¢
62.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
75¢
95.8¢

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
76.4¢
86.5¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
84.5¢
93.3¢

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
58.4¢
67.5¢

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?
94.9¢
99¢

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
81.3¢
97.3¢

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
70.9¢
81.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
64.9¢
82.5¢

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
79.7¢
98.4¢

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
69.4¢
71.5¢

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
63.8¢
91.5¢

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
80¢
98.5¢

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
