Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

22%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

22%

$35m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

52%

Kevin Warsh

25%

Kevin Hassett

52%

Kevin Warsh

25%

$69m Vol.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

12%

Anthony Joshua

86%

Jake Paul

12%

Anthony Joshua

86%

$5m Vol.

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor card icon

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

80%

Tate

$403k Vol.

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 18

3%

December 19

49%

December 18

3%

December 19

49%

$8m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

4%

January 31, 2026

19%

December 31, 2025

4%

January 31, 2026

19%

$28m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

$625m Vol.

Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post? card icon

Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?

4%

chance

$111k Vol.

Brown University shooter arrested by...? card icon

Brown University shooter arrested by...?

December 19

18%

December 31

44%

December 19

18%

December 31

44%

$163k Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election card icon

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

47%

Tarcisio de Freitas

19%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

47%

Tarcisio de Freitas

19%

$8m Vol.

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...? card icon

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

December 31

7%

March 31, 2026

51%

December 31

7%

March 31, 2026

51%

$2m Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

63%

>$2B

53%

>$1B

63%

>$2B

53%

$27m Vol.

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? card icon

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

34%

chance

$316k Vol.

NFL MVP card icon

NFL MVP

Matthew Stafford

70%

Drake Maye

13%

Matthew Stafford

70%

Drake Maye

13%

$2m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

18%

Susie Wiles

17%

Kristi Noem

18%

Susie Wiles

17%

$304k Vol.

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...? card icon

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

December 31

31%

January 31

65%

December 31

31%

January 31

65%

$665k Vol.

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? card icon

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

18%

chance

$169k Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 23

7%

December 31

14%

December 23

7%

December 31

14%

$40m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

3%

chance

$59m Vol.

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025? card icon

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

8 - 8.1B

1%

8.1 - 8.2B

1%

8 - 8.1B

1%

8.1 - 8.2B

1%

$575k Vol.

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner card icon

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner

Sam Soverel

100%

Michael Mizrachi

<1%

Sam Soverel

100%

Michael Mizrachi

<1%

$234m Vol.

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025? card icon

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

No announcement by December 31

91%

Kevin Hassett

4%

No announcement by December 31

91%

Kevin Hassett

4%

$9m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

63%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

22%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

63%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

22%

$70m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

52%

Marco Rubio

8%

J.D. Vance

52%

Marco Rubio

8%

$123m Vol.

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